John Derbyshire recently reiterated his belief that global warming is indeed occurring. Derbyshire is more than a curmudgeon, he’s sort of a contrarian. One of his great joys is throwing cold water on conservatives, or what passes for conservatives, as of course the title of his book “We Are Doomed” tells you.
The real thing about Derbyshire though is that he replaces his lost faith in God with a pretty strong faith in science. He writes a lot about math, is quite intelligent, and yet needing to believe in something, as people do, he needs to believe in science a little too much.
Well, you say, we know the soft sciences, the social sciences, are unreliable, but the hard sciences- physics, chemistry, and in this case meteorology, which is simply physics applied to the gases of the atmosphere, are all pretty solid right? Physics as typically understood is solid, but the theoretical and experimental physics that excites journalists like Derbyshire is mostly just that, theoretical and experimental. They need theories to explain the theories, and theories to explain the results of the experiments, then more theories and more experiments, apparently without end. Physics has been working on a unified theory of things for about a hundred years, and they are still working on it.
Still that’s better than the statistical base of meteorology. Statistics in meteorology are no safer from corruption than statistics in sociology. The “credentialed experts” of which Derbyshire speaks want to keep their jobs and not get their tires slashed, so they will subconsciously or consciously come up with the right answer.
Notice how a few years ago they switched the terminology from “global warming” to “climate change”. People began noticing severe winter storms, which didn’t seem to match with the global warming hysteria. The explanation became that global warming caused changed in the weather so that the climate was more severe, so that the fact it was colder was proof, solid scientific proof, that it was getting warmer, and if you didn’t believe that it was just proof you are a COMPLETE MORON.
Last winter in the upper Midwest was bad, and this one is brutal. The one before that was fairly warm, so the obvious trend for anybody actually observing is that it is getting colder. No statistics from a leftist source can be trusted- in fact they must assumed to be false- so I have more faith in my own personal observations than what Michael Mann is saying. Even when caught lying, he tells you to shut up, which is the true sign of a bully and a Stalinist scumbag.
If you are a modestly intelligent person and your personal observations contradict what “science” tells you, you can safely assume the science to be contrived.